Bitcoin reserves on crypto exchanges have been steadily declining, a trend that market analysts often associate with a potential upward movement in the asset’s price. As more investors move their Bitcoin holdings from exchanges to cold storage, the available supply in the open market decreases. Historically, such movements in Bitcoin reserves have been linked to subsequent price rallies, raising expectations for a similar scenario in the near future.
Bitcoin Reserves Decline Amid Expected CPI Impact on BTC Price
According to data from CryptoQuant, a leading blockchain analytics firm, Bitcoin reserves on exchanges have been shrinking over the past few months. This trend points to a reduction in selling pressure as more investors move their assets into cold storage, making them unavailable for immediate trading.
Meanwhile, Stablecoin reserves on exchanges are climbing. Stablecoin balances represent readily available capital for investors looking to make purchases at the right time. The growing amount of crypto-backed currency on exchanges suggests that traders are preparing to deploy this capital once market conditions seem favorable.
Concurrently, today, the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is expected to have a substantial impact on the Bitcoin market. Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has shared his perspective on the outcomes. He emphasized that the CPI figures could lead to a major shift in Bitcoin price trajectory.
Despite a slight pullback today, Van de Poppe views this as a normal correction before CPI is revealed. He anticipates a rally if Bitcoin holds its ground around the $55K to $56K leading up to the announcement.
However, the analyst cautions that if the data presents a negative economic outlook, it could trigger a deeper decline. This could push Bitcoin price down to $53,000, or potentially as low as $49,000.
Analysts are forecasting that the CPI m/m will remain unchanged at 0.2%, while the CPI y/y is predicted at 2.5%. This is slightly lower than last month’s 2.9%. Van de Poppe believes that if the CPI figures align, Bitcoin could rebound and surpass the $60K mark.
Supply-Demand Imbalance Amid $100K Price Prediction
The combination of decreasing Bitcoin reserves and rising Stablecoin reserves creates an imbalance between supply and demand. With fewer Bitcoin tokens available for sale and more buying power accumulating, market dynamics could favor an upward movement. Historically, this type of supply-demand imbalance has been followed by sharp price increases.
Additionally, the convergence of multiple factors suggests that Bitcoin price could reach $100K. The Mars-Vesta cycle, which accurately predicts market tops and bottoms, points to a peak around October 2025.
At the same time, rising interest in Bitcoin from institutional investors, spurred by the approval and analysts optimistic outlook of spot Bitcoin ETFs, is adding to the bullish sentiment. Key macroeconomic events, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cut could further influence market volatility.
With Bitcoin’s four-year cycle aligning with historical trends, analysts agree that BTC could surpass $100K between late 2024 and 2026.
According to CoinGape Bitcoin price prediction, September could see BTC price rally 24.8% to $68,432.7 by the end of the month. More so, the analysis predicts BTC could break its current all time high by mid 2025.
At the time of writing, BTC price is $56,694.36, reflecting a slight increase of 0.31% over the last 7 days.
Ronny Mugendi
Ronny Mugendi is a seasoned crypto journalist with four years of professional experience, having contributed significantly to various media outlets on cryptocurrency trends and technologies. His work includes notable contributions to Cryptopolitan and Coingape News Media, where he shares his insights on the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market. Outside of his journalism career, Ronny enjoys the thrill of bike riding, exploring new trails and landscapes.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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